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Animal Breeding and Genetics Group, Wageningen University, PO Box 338, 6700 AH Wageningen, The Netherlands
1 Corresponding author: herman.mulder{at}wur.nl
| ABSTRACT |
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Key Words: genotype x environment interaction breeding program dairy cattle genetic gain
| INTRODUCTION |
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With little G x E, breeding programs in different environments may successfully cooperate and select sires and dams worldwide, because the same number of sires and dams can be selected from a larger population of selection candidates, resulting in a higher selection intensity and genetic gain (Banos and Smith, 1991; Smith and Banos, 1991; Lohuis and Dekkers, 1998), and lowers rate of inbreeding, at least in the short term. With substantial G x E, however, long-term selection of sires and dams worldwide can be hampered, because populations in different environments tend to diversify, leading to separation of breeding programs in the long term (Smith and Banos, 1991). Banos and Smith (1991) mentioned that populations diverged quickly when the genetic correlation between countries was lower than 0.80. Smith and Banos (1991) concluded from their results that genetic correlations less than 0.80 to 0.90 would be large enough to remove benefits of worldwide selection.
A lot of research is dedicated to optimizing Interbull procedures (e.g., estimation of genetic correlations and breeding values across countries). However, effects of genetic correlations on short- and long-term possibilities for cooperation between dairy cattle breeding programs have received little attention, and effects of parameters characterizing breeding programs are largely unknown (e.g., heritability, selection intensity, size of breeding programs). Banos and Smith (1991) and Lohuis and Dekkers (1998) focused primarily on short-term benefits in genetic gain due to cooperation between dairy cattle breeding programs and allowed population size and G x E level to vary. In addition, Smith and Banos (1991) investigated long-term effects of different population sizes of males in combination with different levels of G x E. Smith and Banos (1991), however, simulated mass selection of sires and dams with only selection of sires across environments, whereas in dairy cattle breeding, both sires and dams might be selected across environments using BLUP-EBV. Therefore, there is a need for a more complete evaluation of effects of different parameters, such as heritability, selection intensity, number of progeny per sire, and size of breeding programs in situations applicable to dairy cattle.
The objectives of this study were 2-fold: 1) to investigate the effects of heritability, selection intensity, number of progeny per bull, and size of breeding programs on possibilities for cooperation between dairy cattle breeding programs in the short and long term in the presence of G x E, and 2) to quantify the effect of such cooperation on genetic gain.
| MATERIALS AND METHODS |
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Breeding Programs
Possibilities for cooperation between the 2 breeding programs were investigated by deterministic simulation using a pseudo-BLUP selection index. The breeding objective of breeding program 1 was milk yield in environment 1; the breeding objective of breeding program 2 was milk yield in environment 2. Bulls in breeding program 1 were progeny tested in environment 1; bulls in breeding program 2 were progeny tested in environment 2. Performance in both environments was assumed to follow a multivariate normal distribution. Sires and dams were selected by truncation on animal model BLUP-EBV, approximated by a pseudo-BLUP selection index. The EBV of sires were based on average performance of progeny and pedigree information; EBV of dams were based on own performance in first lactation in one environment and pedigree information. Four selection paths were considered: sires to breed sons (SS), sires to breed daughters (SD), dams to breed sons (DS), and dams to breed daughters (DD). Selection of SS, SD, and DS was by truncation across environments, whereas DD were completely selected within their own environment. Generations were assumed to be discrete.
Parameters in the basic situation are summarized in Table 1
. In the basic situation, breeding program 1 tested 200 bulls annually with 100 daughters per bull in environment 1. Analogously, breeding program 2 tested 200 bulls annually with 100 daughters per bull in environment 2. Selected fractions were chosen to represent practical dairy cattle breeding programs and were similar to those of Dekkers (1992), Lohuis and Dekkers (1998), and Vargas and van Arendonk (2004). In each breeding program, the best 20 SS were selected each year out of 400 bulls in total (pSS = 0.05), whereas the best 40 SD were selected out of 400 bulls in total (pSD = 0.10). To produce 400 test bulls, 1,000 DS were selected each year out of 200,000 cows in the 2 environments together (pDS = 0.005). Each dam population consisted of 1 million cows, of which 10% were considered as potential DS. Other dams were excluded for various reasons not directly related to the breeding objective. The 80% best cows were selected as DD each year within their own environment to produce female replacements using AI (pDD = 0.80). The heritability (h2) of milk yield was 0.3 in both environments and the genetic correlation between both environments (rg) was varied between 0 and 1. For simplicity, the phenotypic variance was set to 1.0 in both environments. Alternative situations were created by changing one parameter at a time while keeping other parameters constant.
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Selected Fraction and Selection Intensity.
Sires and dams in the selection paths SS, SD, and DS were selected across environments on EBV. A common truncation point was determined by using Ridders Method (Press et al., 1992) based on the total number of selected animals in a certain selection path, the genetic mean and variance of EBV of the subpopulations for the breeding program of interest, and the distribution of animals across environments. Subsequently, the common truncation point (x) was translated into selected fractions (p) within each environment using properties of the normal distribution (Abramowitz and Stegun, 1968). Selection intensities were corrected for finite population size using the method of Burrows (1972) and for correlated EBV using the method of Meuwissen (1991).
Genetic Mean and Genetic Gain.
Genetic selection differentials for performance in environment i Ri,kl,r(t) were calculated for animals selected for breeding program l within environment k and selection path r in generation t as
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(Cameron, 1997), where ikl(t) is the selection intensity, bm,kl(t) is the vector with selection index weights for breeding objective m, gi,k(t) is the vector with covariances between phenotypic information sources and the breeding objective m and
EBV,m,kl(t) is the standard deviation of the EBV for breeding objective m (see Appendices 1 and 2 for construction of gi,k(t) and calculation of bm,kl(t) and
EBV,m,kl(t)). The genetic mean of selected animals in one environment was
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where µi,k,r(t) is the genetic mean before selection. The average genetic mean of all selected animals was
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where fkl,r(t) is the proportion of selected animals originating from environment k for selection path r in generation
. The genetic mean of newborn bull calves was calculated as
, whereas the genetic mean of newborn heifer calves was
. Genetic means in generation zero were equal in both environments and set to zero. Genetic gain was calculated as the difference in genetic mean in generation t and generation t 1. Equilibrium was reached when genetic gain in both breeding programs changed less than 1.0 x 1010 in subsequent generations. Equilibrium was usually reached after 10 to 20 generations of selection, although exceptions to this rule were observed. Results were based on equilibrium values, unless otherwise indicated.
| RESULTS |
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0.90 (the split-point genetic correlation), and 2) genetic gains of 2 cooperating breeding programs when the genetic correlation was >0.90. When the genetic correlation was
0.90, genetic gain in environment 1 of breeding program 2 was a correlated response, indicated by the linear decrease in genetic gain with decreasing genetic correlation. Genetic gain in environment 1 of breeding program 1 was constant. When the genetic correlation was >0.90, genetic gains of both breeding programs were equal, and increased curvilinearly with the genetic correlation, because breeding programs were cooperating, resulting in higher selection intensity.
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Figure 1C
shows the ratio of genetic gain in environment 1 of breeding programs 2 and 1 as a function of generation number, for different values of the genetic correlation near the split-point genetic correlation. When the genetic correlation was higher than the split-point genetic correlation (0.95 or 0.91), the ratio approached 1.00 after some generations and breeding programs cooperated. When the genetic correlation was equal to the split-point genetic correlation of 0.90, the ratio increased first close to 1.00 and after 30 generations of selection the ratio decreased to the ratio of a correlated response and a direct response (= genetic correlation), indicating that breeding programs were separated. When the genetic correlation was 0.85, the ratio decreased the first 20 generations to the ratio of a correlated response and a direct response. After 60 and 15 generations of selection for, respectively, a genetic correlation of 0.90 and 0.85, there was a small dip in the ratio caused by establishing a new equilibrium with respect to reduction of genetic variance due to selection and build-up of pedigree information after complete separation of both breeding programs.
Figure 1D
shows the proportion of SS selected for breeding program 1 within environment 1 as a function of generation number, for different values of the genetic correlation near the split-point genetic correlation. Results in SD and DS were similar to those in SS. When the genetic correlation was 0.95 and 0.91, the proportion of sires selected for breeding program 1 within environment 1 stabilized to 0.58 and 0.73, respectively. Both breeding programs were selecting sires and dams in both environments, indicating cooperation between both breeding programs. When the genetic correlation was 0.90 or 0.85, the proportion of SS selected for breeding program 1 within environment 1 increased toward 1.00, indicating that sires were only selected within the own environment at equilibrium. In other words, breeding programs cooperated in the initial generations, but eventually separated to operate individually, due to differences in trait means between the 2 programs.
Selection Intensity
Figure 2
shows the split-point genetic correlation as a function of the selected fraction of SS, for 2 sets of selected fractions of sires and dams in SD and DS. In the situation "equal," the selected fractions in SD and DS were equal to the selected fraction of SS, whereas DD were always selected within their own population with a selected fraction of 0.80. In the situation "practical," the selected fractions of SD, DS, and DD were fixed to the basic parameter values listed in Table 1
and only the selected fraction of SS was varied. For both situations, the split-point genetic correlation decreased with increasing selected fraction of SS. The decrease was larger with equal selected fractions of SS, SD, and DS ("equal") than with fixed selected fractions of SD and DS ("practical"). In summary, breeding programs cooperate more with less intense selection.
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In summary, heritability and number of progeny per bull had negligible effects on the split-point genetic correlation, unless heritability and number of progeny per bull were extremely different in the 2 environments.
Number of Bulls Tested per Breeding Program
Figure 3A
shows the proportion of SS selected for breeding program 1 within environment 1 as a function of the genetic correlation for different numbers of bulls tested in environments 1 and 2. The total number of bulls tested was always equal to 400 and the number of selected sires in SS and SD in each breeding program was always constant. When the number of bulls tested in breeding program 1 decreased from 200 to 100, the split-point genetic correlation decreased from 0.90 to 0.79. When the genetic correlation was unity, the proportion of SS selected for breeding program 1 within environment 1 was exactly equal to the proportion of total number of bulls tested in breeding program 1, as expected. These patterns were also observed for selection paths SD and DS in breeding program 1 and for selection paths SS, SD, and DS in breeding program 2 (results not shown). Split-point genetic correlations were, however, not always exactly equal for all selection paths and for both breeding programs; the lowest split-point genetic correlation was considered as most important.
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It can be concluded that the split-point genetic correlation decreased with the increase in asymmetry in number of bulls tested per environment and small breeding programs had a larger benefit from cooperation than did large breeding programs.
Short Term vs. Long Term
With the exception of Figure 1C and 1D
, which showed all generations, only equilibrium results have been shown so far, but in some situations, equilibrium was reached only after more than 100 generations of selection. In animal breeding, a shorter time horizon is of more interest. Therefore, the split-point genetic correlation was determined as a function of generation number (Figure 4A
) and the increase in genetic gain relative to individually operated breeding programs was determined as a function of generation number for different values of the genetic correlation (Figure 4B
). To mimic a practical situation where both breeding programs had been selecting sires and dams across the 2 environments for many generations, the first 20 generations were simulated to establish Bulmer equilibrium (Bulmer, 1971) and pedigree equilibrium (Dekkers, 1992). In generation 20, genetic means of both populations were set to zero, so that genetic means were again equal. Using generation 20 as starting point (considered as generation 0), the split-point genetic correlation was determined in every generation as the highest value of the genetic correlation, where more than 99% of the selected animals in each selection path originated from the own environment.
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Figure 4B
shows the percentage increase in genetic gain due to cooperation relative to individually operated breeding programs. When the genetic correlation was 0.95 or 1.00, which were both higher than the equilibrium split-point genetic correlation, genetic gain increased by, respectively, 12 and 15%. The percentage increase in genetic gain was constant with increasing generation number. When the genetic correlation was 0.90 or below, genetic gain increased in the first 10 generations by up to 8%. After more generations of selection, the increase in genetic gain disappeared, because breeding programs separated. In conclusion, cooperation between breeding programs operating in different environments can increase genetic gain, but cooperation is only possible in the long-term when the genetic correlation is higher than 0.90.
| DISCUSSION |
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This study did not account for inbreeding. Banos and Smith (1991) and Lohuis and Dekkers (1998) accounted for inbreeding by using predicted rates of inbreeding depending only on the number of selected sires and dams (Falconer and Mackay, 1996). As a consequence, Banos and Smith (1991) found almost constant optimal numbers of selected sires when maximizing a function of genetic gain minus costs of inbreeding depression. In this study and in that of Smith and Banos (1991), fixed numbers of selected sires and dams were used, resulting in fixed rates of inbreeding when using prediction formulas as given in Falconer and Mackay (1996). Even with more sophisticated models to predict rate of inbreeding (e.g., Bijma et al., 2001), variation in rate of inbreeding would be small due to selection of fixed numbers of selected sires and dams, and small differences in probability of coselection of relatives. Therefore, effects on split-point genetic correlation and benefits of cooperation would likely be small when accounting for inbreeding.
In practice, several Holstein-Friesian breeding programs are operating in different areas of the world. In principle, each breeding program can select sires and dams from all over the world. With more breeding programs and environments, a larger proportion of selection candidates is located in other environments than in the domestic environment. Consequently, selecting sires and dams across environments will probably increase benefits of cooperation between breeding programs even more (Smith and Banos, 1991), depending on genetic correlations and genetic means of different environments. For a given country, the current system is comparable to the situation with a small breeding program and a large breeding program (see Figure 3
), because the breeding programs of all other countries can be considered together as one large breeding program. With multiple environments and breeding programs, sires and dams may be selected across environments even at lower values of the genetic correlation than in the situation with 2 environments and 2 breeding programs.
In real life, different breeding programs often have different breeding goals. This means that not only G x E on a trait-by-trait level but also differences in breeding goal play a role in possibilities for cooperation between breeding programs. Differences in economic weights do not affect the accuracy of EBV of animals in other environments, whereas G x E on a trait-by-trait level does affect the accuracy of EBV of animals in other environments. In reality, G x E on a trait-by-trait level and differences in breeding goals are usually occurring simultaneously (Goddard, 1992). Therefore, the results in this study may serve as a guideline by interpreting single-trait selection as selection on an index combining different traits, replacing the genetic correlation between single-trait performances in different environments by the genetic correlation between breeding goals. Because of breeding goal differences, the genetic correlation between breeding goals is expected to be less than the genetic correlation between single-trait performances in different environments. Due to broadening of breeding goals in different countries, the genetic correlation between breeding goals has decreased in the last 5 to 10 yr, leading to fewer animals in common among top bull listings across various countries (Miglior et al., 2005).
Differences in breeding goals or G x E on a trait-by-trait level can increase the global effective population size due to selection of different sires and dams in different breeding programs (Goddard, 1992). Therefore, the rate of inbreeding in the global population would be lower than if all breeding programs were selecting the same sires and dams. When the genetic correlation is lower or equal to the split-point genetic correlation, breeding programs are not selecting each others sires and dams. Consequently, rates of inbreeding will probably increase within environments, because selection of less-related animals in other environments is not possible to achieve optimal genetic gain. However, genetic diversity of the whole breed will increase due to emergence of isolated strains. Goddard (1992), however, suggested that inbreeding effects and the large size of the world population would prevent complete isolation.
Optimization of breeding programs is usually aimed at maximization of genetic gain with constrained inbreeding (Bijma, 2000). Cooperation with other breeding programs is an opportunity to either increase genetic gain substantially without extra investment in testing more bulls, or reducing the number of test bulls while maintaining genetic gain. Furthermore, it is a way to select less-related animals, thus reducing inbreeding rate. The increase of the split-point genetic correlation with a lower selected fraction indicates a trade-off between selection intensity and possibilities for cooperation. Possibilities for cooperation across environments would affect, therefore, the optimal design of dairy cattle breeding programs considering genetic gain, inbreeding, and costs.
| CONCLUSIONS |
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| APPENDIX 1 |
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The P(t)-matrix was formed with submatrices (Pij(t)) for each combination of traits i and j (environment 1 and 2):
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with different submatrices Pmij(t) and Pfij(t), for males and females, respectively, following the given order of information sources:
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where
ij(t) = (co)variance of mean performance of progeny between trait i and j in generation
, where Cij(t) is element of the genetic variance-covariance matrix, Cmsij(t=0) is element of the genetic variance-covariance matrix of Mendelian sampling term, Eij is element of the environmental variance-covariance matrix and np is number of progeny, OPij(t) = (co)variance of own performance between trait i and j in generation t = Cij(t) + Eij, Mij(t) = (co)variance of mean EBV of dams of progeny between trait i and j in generation t = element of b'j(t1)P(t1)bj(t1), because dams of progeny were assumed to be not selected due to random use of test bulls on cows in first lactation, and Dij(t),Sij(t) = (co)variance of EBV dam/sire between trait i and j in generation t, see under "variance reduction due to selection").
The gj(t) vector was partitioned into gij(t), where i is the trait of information in the selection index and j is the trait that the EBV corresponds to:
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with different vectors gij(t), gmij(t) and gfij(t), for bulls and cows, following the given order of information sources:
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| APPENDIX 2 |
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where
= genetic Mendelian sampling (co)variance between traits i and j, which is half of the initial genetic (co)variance.
The Cs(t)-matrix and Cd(t)-matrix were updated each generation according to Bijma et al. (2001); for example, for an element Csij,l(t) of breeding program l in generation t:
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where Cov(Ai, EBVm,kl)(t1) = b'm,,kl(t1)gi,kl(t1), EBVm,kl = selection criterion of animals selected for breeding objective m of breeding program l within environment k in generation t1,
2EBV,m,kl(t1) = b'm,kl(t1)Pk(t1)bm,kl(t1) = variance of EBVm,kl in generation t 1, and ks,kl(t1) = is,kl(t1)(is,kl(t1) xs,kl(t1)) = variance reduction coefficient, where is,kl(t1) is selection intensity of sires selected for breeding program l within environment k in generation t 1 and xs,kl(t1) is the corresponding standardized truncation point. The Cd(t)-matrix was calculated similarly using kd,kl(t1) instead of ks,kl(t1).
Due to differences in selected fractions between the selection paths SS and DS as parents of bulls and the selection paths SD and DD as parents of cows, each breeding program had 2 variance-covariance matrices of sire EBV (S(t)) and dam EBV (D(t)) because of different Bulmer equilibria. In multivariate analysis the elements of S(t) and D(t) are equal to the covariances between the true additive genetic effects and the EBV (Villanueva et al., 1993). Elements of S(t)-matrix and D(t)-matrix were updated each generation, e.g., for an element Sij,l(t) of breeding program l in generation t:
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where EBVj,kl = EBV for performance in environment j for an animal selected for breeding program l within environment k, Cov(Ai, EBVj,kl(t1)) = b'j,kl(t1)gm,kl(t1), and Cov(EBVj,kl, EBVm,kl(t1)) = b'j,,kl(t1)gm,kl(t1).
| ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS |
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Received for publication July 15, 2005. Accepted for publication November 15, 2005.
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