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Departamento de Producción Animal, E.T.S.I. Agrónomos Universidad Politécnica, Ciudad Universitaria s/n, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, 28040 Madrid, Spain
Corresponding author: Oscar González-Recio; e-mail: ogrecio{at}pan.etsia.upm.es.
| ABSTRACT |
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Key Words: female fertility selection index recording scheme
Abbreviation key: CI = calving interval, PR = pregnancy rate, DFS = days to first service, DO = days open, IFL = interval between first and last insemination, INS = number of inseminations per service period, P = pregnancy within 56 d (P56) or 90 d (P90) after first insemination, SF = success in first insemination.
| INTRODUCTION |
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Fertility traits present several difficulties with respect to statistical analysis. Methodological problems arise in (co)variance estimation for binary traits (e.g., nonreturn rates of SF), because many assumptions of linear models are violated. Bayesian methodology is often the best path to deal with such problems (Thompson, 1979; Gianola, 1982). Nonetheless, some problems remain. For example, when every observation within a given level of a fixed effect falls within the same category (i.e., all 0 or all 1), extreme category problems occur, and these can lead to bias in (co)variance estimation. Also, extremely high or low incidence rates and a low number of observations per fixed effect subclass can lead to severe bias (Moreno et al., 1997). Several authors cited the sire model as preferable (e.g., Hoeschele and Tier, 1995) because of these problems. However, accuracy of EBV could be increased using an animal model. An animal model could be applied to categorical traits by considering extended contemporary groups and by treating the herd-year effect as random, thereby reducing problems due to data structure, although at the expense of higher computer resources.
Another problem arises from data recording organizations. Calving interval and DO can be calculated from milk recording data. The remaining traits require insemination or pregnancy examination records, and these data are not recorded in many countries due to the lack of a suitable recording program. Advantages of recording insemination data should be quantified.
The objectives of this study were to estimate genetic (co)variances between fertility traits using linear and threshold animal models, and to determine which traits should be included in a selection index to reduce fertility costs. Another aim was to quantify the economic advantages of incorporating traits from an insemination recording system, in addition to traits from the milk recording scheme, to improve fertility and reduce reproductive costs.
| MATERIALS AND METHODS |
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Rules for validating insemination data.
The following editing rules were considered according to González-Recio et al. (2004):
Limits were required for DFS, INS, DO, and CI to not include in the analysis records or cows with serious problems other than fertility, such as diseases that could affect reproductive ability. Contemporary groups were required to have at least 5 records to be included in statistical analysis (Ugarte et al., 1992). The data editing procedure reduced the data set to 120,713 lactation records and 225,085 insemination records from 63,160 lactating cows. The pedigree file included 91,770 animals.
Estimation of Genetic Parameters
Linear traits.
Restricted maximum likelihood method was used to estimate (co)variance components. Statistical models were:
![]() | ([1]) |
![]() | ([2]) |
where yjklmn was the trait of interest, DFSjklmn was days to first service as covariate, LAj was a fixed effect of lactation-age at calving, Mk was a fixed effect of calendar month at calving, HYl was a fixed effect of herd-year at calving, pm was a random permanent effect, an was an animal genetic effect, and ejklmn was a random residual term. Model [1] was applied to the following traits: INS and IFL. Model [2] was applied to DFS, PR, DO, and CI. Bivariate analyses were implemented using the VCE (ver. 4.2.5) software (Groeneveld and García-Cortés, 1998).
Binary traits.
Bayesian methodology was used to estimate (co)variance components between binary and linear traits. A threshold-liability model (Gianola, 1982) was implemented for analyzing the binary traits (P56, P90, and SF). The threshold model postulates an underlying continuous distribution for a random variable named liability (
). Variance of that distribution were set to arbitrary values:
~ N (µ,1). This liability is less or greater than a threshold (t) depending on the observed phenotype, as described below:
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The threshold and the variances were set fixed because the parameters are not identifiable.
The following liability model was used for binary traits:
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where
jklmn was the corresponding liability of the observation, DFSjklmn was days to first service as covariate, LAj was fixed effect of lactation-age at calving, Mk was fixed effect of calendar month at calving, hyrl was random effect of herd-year at calving, pm was random permanent effect, an was animal genetic effect, and ejklmn the random residual term.
The herd-year at calving effect was considered random to minimize the disadvantages of reduced size of comparison groups (Moreno et al., 1997). The contemporary groups within herd-year were expanded up to a maximum of 1 yr. If any extreme category problems (comparison groups in which every observation falls within the same category) remained, those groups were removed from the data set.
A Bayesian approach was adopted for inferences with Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling used in the binary-binary and linear-binary analyses, integrating the underlying variables by means of a data augmentation algorithm described by Sorensen et al. (1995).
In matrix notation, the models can be represented as:
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where y is the vector of observations (liabilities in case of binary traits), ß is the vector of systematic effects,
is the vector of the herd-year random effect for binary traits, p is the vector of random permanent effect, a is a vector of animal effect, and e is a vector of residual effects; X, W1, W2, and Z are the corresponding incidence matrices.
Conditionally on the model parameters, it was assumed that the sampling distribution of the observations was:
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where R0 is a 2 x 2 variance-covariance matrix with the following structure:
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The residuals were assumed correlated within cows between the 2 simultaneously analyzed traits, and independent between cows.
The posterior conditional distributions for the genetic and permanent (co)variance components were inverted Wishart. Residual (co)variances and herd-year variance (for binary traits) were sampled by Metropolis-Hasting algorithm with a uniform proposal. Flat priors were assumed for the systematic effects.
The joint posterior distribution had the form:
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The analyses were implemented using our own software, and the viability of the software was tested by simulated data. Each analysis consisted of a single chain of 100,000 iterations, discarding the first 10,000 samples. Burn-in period was determined by the convergence of 2 chains with different initial values. The lag period was 10 samples, having 9000 samples for final inferences. The effective sample size and the Monte Carlo error (Geyer, 1992) of the genetic correlations were estimated for the linear-binary and binary-binary analysis.
Fertility Economic Selection Index
Index development was based on selection index theory described by Hazel (1943) from discounted economic weights of traits involved in the breeding goals and their genetic relationships with traits included in the index.
Two traits were included in the aggregate genotype: DFS and INS. The economic values reported in a recent study (González-Recio et al., 2004) were used ($4.90 and $67.32 per cow per year for CI and INS, respectively).
The economic value for CI was used for DFS because the relationship between both traits is straightforward. Increasing DFS by 1 d has the same economic impact as increasing CI by 1 d.
Hence, the aggregate genotype used in the index elaboration was:
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where H is the aggregate genotype, a1 is economic value of INS ($67.32), and a2 is economic value of DFS ($4.90).
The selection index is composed of EBV for traits included in the index and their corresponding weights:
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where FI is the fertility index, X is the EBV for trait i included in the index, and bi is the index weight for trait i.
The aggregate genotype and the selection index were related by means of the next equation:
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where b is the vector of the index weights, P is the phenotypic (co)variance matrix of traits (or liabilities in case of binary traits) included in the selection index, G is the genetic (co)variance matrix between traits in the selection index and traits in the aggregate genotype, and a is the vector of economic values in the aggregate genotype. Correlated genetic response was computed as
implying selection intensity equals one.
A set of fertility selection indices were developed based on (co)variance results of this study.
| RESULTS AND DISCUSSION |
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In view of these results, 3 groups of fertility traits can be defined. The first group would include DFS as an indicator of the time that a cow needs to get ready to be inseminated. It should be noted that a problem arises with such a trait when heat synchronization is practiced (which is not the case in the studied population). This group could include other traits, such as heat strength or hormone concentrations in milk (Royal et al., 2002); these traits were not included in this study but could be considered in future research. The second group would include traits that indicate pregnancy rate, such as INS (preferable), IFL, P56, and P90. Finally, the last group would include traits that are composite measures of time to first insemination and pregnancy rate, such as CI, DO, and PR. However, it is not recommended to consider these traits for selection unless group 1 and 2 traits are unavailable. Calving interval, DO, and PR cannot distinguish between infertility due to a delay in reproductive performance or due to low success rate of AI events. Moreover, these traits are influenced by management practices and voluntary extension of lactations.
Sample size and highest probability density interval (95%) for genetic correlations were calculated for every bivariate Bayesian analysis (Table 3
). The highest probability interval was set as the interval that contained 95% of the total samples. Sample size ranged from 6 (P90-DFS) to 141 (P56-DO and P56-PR). Although small sample sizes were obtained, the Monte Carlo error was always less than 0.03. Larger genetic correlations had smaller highest probability intervals. Analyses with small sample size could require longer Markov chains. Moderate genetic correlation (between SF and CI, P56 and DFS, P90 and DFS, and P90 and INS) had wider highest probability intervals.
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Fertility Economic Selection Index
Six fertility selection indices were proposed based on estimated (co)variances in this study. The first 2 fertility indices (FI1 and FI2) were calculated with only information from milk recording scheme (CI and PR, respectively).
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Days to first service, indicating time from calving to the beginning of the reproductive performance, and another trait related to pregnancy rate (INS, IFL, P56, and P90) were selected to develop the rest of indices. The third index (FI3) included DFS and interval from first to last insemination: IFL.
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The fourth and fifth indices (FI4 and FI5) were calculated following the recommendations from Groen et al. (1998), who concluded that every country should analyze, at minimum, DFS and nonreturn rate.
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Finally, a fertility index (FI6) was calculated including DFS and INS.
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Insemination data are necessary for indices FI3, FI4, FI5, and FI6.
Table 4
presents the Spearman correlation among the 6 fertility indices and the EBV for breeding goal traits of sires with more than 25 daughters. Table 5
shows weights for each index and the genetic gain for the breeding goals (DFS and INS). All fertility indices had correlations over 0.80, and their correlations with INS EBV were quite similar (0.61 to 0.90). However, the FI4 and FI5 were less correlated to DFS EBV (0.38 and 0.44). When data from the milk recording scheme was the only available information, the indices FI1 and FI2 (based on CI and PR) had an expected genetic gain of $6.93 and $7.47, respectively, per generation and unit of selection intensity (Table 5
). It is recommended to use linear transformation of DO (PR) instead of CI to reduce fertility cost, because economic genetic gain is higher for PR. Although Spearman correlations were high for FI1 and FI2 with EBV for breeding goal traits (Table 4
), at least 15% of genetic gain could be increased with indices that include reproductive information (DFS and P56). Similar genetic gains were estimated with all indices ($6.93 to $7.90), but higher genetic gain could be obtained with an index composed of DFS and P56 ($8.60).
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These results suggest that selection for fertility should focus on DFS as a trait to indicate beginning of reproductive performance and P56 as a trait to indicate conception rate and an early successful insemination. Such a fertility index would have a relevant influence on genetic gain for reduced fertility costs.
This fertility index is similar to that proposed in Switzerland, which includes DFS and nonreturn rate at 56 d after first insemination (Interbull, 2004). The fertility index in Finland is based on days open (66%) and fertility treatments (33%). Daughter pregnancy rate computes 7% in the US Net Merit Index, and Canada includes DFS (22%) and cow nonreturn rate (13%) in the herd life index (CDN, 2005).
Insemination Recording Scheme Benefits
The results of this study indicate the usefulness of recording insemination data within a dairy population. Although traits from milk recording scheme (DO and CI) can be calculated for the whole dairy population, thereby increasing EBV accuracy, they had other drawbacks such that they cannot properly predict female fertility, and they cannot be calculated until second lactation (thereby increasing generation interval). However, DFS and P56 can be recorded at the beginning of the first lactation, reducing generation interval when compared with DO (PR) or CI. In addition, a fertility index based on DFS and P56 increased genetic gain by 15% when compared with fertility indices using data from milk recording schemes. Pregnancy within 56 d after first insemination would be preferable to P90, because it was more highly correlated with INS and could achieve higher genetic gain in profit. Recording the date of the first insemination and checking pregnancy by 56 d is recommended. Although slow genetic progress is expected, a proper insemination recording scheme could supply information about farm reproductive performance that could be used to improve female fertility phenotypically as well. In addition, male fertility can be analyzed if service sire is recorded. Male fertility data are growing in importance to farms and AI studs (Averill et al., 2004; DeJarnette et al., 2004). It should be noted that populations that do not register AI events could reduce fertility cost in an efficient way by selection on DO or CI.
| CONCLUSIONS |
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Genetic progress in fertility requires a long time due to low heritabilities, but fastest improvement for female fertility is reached with DFS, as a trait to indicate beginning of reproductive performance, and P56, as a trait to measure conception rate. A fertility index with those traits would lead to improvement of 1.31 d to first insemination, and reduce inseminations per lactation by 0.03, per generation assuming one unit of selection intensity. Profit would increase by $8.60 per cow per generation. If no reproductive records are available, a fertility index should include DO (or PR) as the fertility trait, but female fertility cannot be predicted properly, and expected genetic gain will be reduced.
Genetic correlations between linear-binary and binary-binary traits suggest that an animal model can be implemented when proper data structure is achieved through extended or random contemporary group effects. Using an animal model would increase accuracy of binary trait EBV.
| ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS |
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Received for publication February 16, 2005. Accepted for publication April 22, 2005.
| REFERENCES |
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